Last night’s incredibly dovish
meeting minutes from the FOMC served to give a leg-up to equity markets
globally as US interest rates appear to be going nowhere fast. The Hang Seng
added more than 1%, not least by virtue that the corresponding collapse of the
greenback meant a weaker Hong Kong Dollar too, but on the flipside the Nikkei
was the regional laggard, selling off in reaction to the Yen rallying to its
highest level in three weeks. These two moves may have been largely driven by
changes in currency values, but it’s worth bearing in mind that given the
number of high profile threats to geopolitical stability right now, any gains
could quickly find themselves being eroded if sentiment shifts.
Wall Street is expected to extend
yesterday’s rally at the open – we’ve got weekly jobless claims due shortly
before the opening bell, but with this abundantly cautious tone emanating from
the Fed, it would take a significant jump here to rock confidence. Some are now
saying we won’t see a rate hike until 2016, so ahead of the open we’re calling
the DOW up 29 at 17023 and the S&P up 5 at 1974.
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