Markets across most of Asia have
finished the week’s final session fractionally lower although there has been
something of a stand-out performance from the Shanghai Composite index. An
abundance of liquidity in the local money market – and an absence of IPOs this
week – is being seen as the reason why Shanghai has managed to tack on around
0.8% today and almost 6% over the last five session, despite that worse than
expected PMI data at the start of the week.
Wall Street futures are currently
indicating a flat start to the session although we do have the non-farm
payrolls to contend with and these could easily serve to shift sentiment.
Expectations are for another 200,000 jobs to have been added but with the
prospect of tighter monetary policy now looming, the big risk has to be that
business confidence takes something of a knock. However given the August ISM
non-manufacturing print edged a little higher, it does seem as if the economy
remains healthy and many will be willing to overlook the fact that the ADP
payroll reading came in slightly below expectations. For now anyway, we’re
calling the DOW down 2 at 17068 and the S&P down 2 at 1996.
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