Yesterday’s shake-out on Wall Street
sent shockwaves across the bulk of Asian equity markets ahead of the weekend
break although the Shanghai Composite managed to buck the trend and eek out
some gains by the close. Despite fears of the Chinese economy slowing, we’re
seeing a series of messages from Beijing that are offering highly selective
stimulus measures and this appears to be providing a degree of support at least
for now. There may be some additional good news ahead of the ‘golden week’
holiday that starts next Wednesday and arguably without this the gains could be
construed as rather tentative.
Wall Street futures are suggesting
that we’re going to see a modest rebound as Friday’s session gets underway but
pushing the DOW clear of 17,000 is likely to be important psychologically if
the rout is to be broken. There’s the Q2 GDP revision due before the opening
bell and University of Michigan confidence data expected shortly after trade
commences and either of these could be sufficient to determine whether a more
sustainable rally can be found. For now however we’re calling the DOW up 53 at
16999 and the S&P up 4 at 1970.
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